Situation in the Middle East

18 March 2026 by CIO Office
Map of the Middle East

Quick take from the CIO Office

Map of the Middle East

In the early hours of Saturday, February 28, President Donald Trump announced on social media “Operation Epic Fury,” a large-scale military attack against Iran with the explicit objective of toppling the Iranian regime and permanently destroying its nuclear facilities. The airstrikes, carried out jointly by the United States and Israel, triggered an unprecedented response in the form of several hundred missiles launched at least half a dozen neighboring countries, plunging the Middle East into chaos that continues as of this writing.

Unsurprisingly, oil prices are reacting sharply higher, as are gold and the U.S. dollar, both of which are playing their role as safe havens. Read our Quick Take about the ongoing situation.

Bottom Line

Overall, the base‑case outlook remains constructive, supported by earnings growth. Recent positioning reflects this view: increasing exposure to emerging markets amid improving earnings momentum, while taking profits in Canadian equities after significant outperformance and a material narrowing in valuation discounts.