| Fiction | Facts |
|---|---|
| The expectation of a stock market correction justifies staying on the sidelines. | If you're anticipating a stock market correction, you're probably right, as declines of at least 5% occur virtually every year; 10% six years out of ten; and around 15% four years out of ten. Nevertheless, history shows that investors willing to stay invested through these fluctuations are well advised, as even the average return in years marked by a correction of 10% or more is positive. Thus, investors whose investment horizon allows for patience are probably better off accepting rather than fearing the inevitable periods of correction, as these are, in some ways, the price to pay for achieving their return objectives in the long run. |
| Investors contemplating investing a large amount (e.g. an inheritance) are better off spreading their entry over time (dollar cost averaging) rather than committing the full amount immediately (lump sum). | It depends. But since 1995, you would have been better off investing the full amount right away 85% of the time, while the decision to split the investment evenly over twelve months would have cost an average of 3% in lost returns. This simple study assumes a balanced portfolio* of Canadian bonds, Canadian equities and global equities. Of course, no one wants to put money to work right before a market correction, this myth being a prime example of one of the most well documented behavioural biases in finance: loss aversion. Yet think of it this way. Would you invest in a strategy that loses 8 times out of 10 and by an average of 3%? After all, these are the historical properties of dollar cost averaging. |
| It is more prudent to invest most of your portfolio in companies domiciled at home and thus of greater familiarity than to "risk it" with foreign corporations. | While predominantly investing in domestic equities might seem sufficient and feel comforting, such a portfolio could, in fact, be just the opposite. Do not confuse familiarity with safety. For instance, Canada's stock market's high concentration in some of the most cyclical sectors and its relative lack of growth-oriented companies poses a risk that can result in unpleasant surprises if left undiversified. The good news is that there are plenty of opportunities abroad to complement for such risks. After all, Canadian stocks only represent 3% of the global equity investment universe! |
Facts & fiction
Facts & fiction - Fall 2026
Here are 3 of the 13 common investment beliefs deconstructed by our CIO Office.
The information and the data supplied in the present document, including those supplied by third parties, are considered accurate at the time of their printing and were obtained from sources which we considered reliable. We reserve the right to modify them without advance notice. This information and data are supplied as informative content only. No representation or guarantee, explicit or implicit, is made as for the exactness, the quality and the complete character of this information and these data. The opinions expressed are not to be construed as solicitation or offer to buy or sell shares mentioned herein and should not be considered as recommendations.
For your convenience, the Website may include links to other Internet sites or resources and businesses operated by other persons (collectively "Other Sites"). Other Sites are independent from National Bank of Canada, and National Bank of Canada and its subsidiaries have no responsibility or liability for or control over Other Sites, their business, goods, services, or content. Your use of Other Sites and your dealings with the owners or operators of Other Sites is at your own risk.
© National Bank Investments Inc., 2026. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the prior written consent of National Bank Investments Inc.
® NATIONAL BANK INVESTMENTS is a registered trademark of National Bank of Canada, used under licence by National Bank Investments Inc.
National Bank Investments is a signatory of the United Nations-supported Principles for Responsible Investment, a member of Canada’s Responsible Investment Association, and a founding participant in the Climate Engagement Canada initiative.
