Need some inflation protection?

25 November 2021 by National Bank Investments
NBI Monthly Edition – December 2021

With holiday shopping well underway, consumers won’t be the only ones bearing the brunt of inflationary pressures this season. As economies reopen and countries emerge from the pandemic, supply chain disruptions are also having an impact on retailers and the prices of everything from cars to furniture and household appliances.
On the surface, rising prices and supply shortages may seem unsettling, but in the eyes of policymakers, all of this is short-lived. As inflation continues to overstay its welcome, is there a way for investors to soften its impact?

Infrastructure as a safe haven

Investments in real assets such as listed securities of real estate and infrastructure companies are a great way to help mitigate adverse inflation impacts. Why?

  1. Unique regulatory treatment
    Infrastructure companies are regulated in a way that they are less vulnerable to inflationary spikes. For instance, if an increase in interest rates threatens their bottom line, these companies have enough power to increase prices and keep profitability in check.
  2. Favourable contractual provisions
    Infrastructure companies often incorporate clauses in their contracts to adjust charges for inflation. In essence, contractual provisions allow the asset owners to pass on inflation concerns through higher unit prices such as rents, utility rates and tolls. 

The chart below showcases how global infrastructure generally tracks or exceeds inflation dictated by CPI, supporting the case that infrastructure can offer inflation protection.

Global Infrastructures vs Consumer Price Index

Stability in cash flows and dividend growth

Other key features of global infrastructure are the high barriers to entry and the physical assets, which are difficult to replace and often essential for society to function (such as utilities). Infrastructure assets tend to benefit from predictable rising cash flows due to inelastic demand and monopolistic traits. This enables them to have a steady stream of cash flows over the long run and leads to strong dividend growth across multiple market cycles and macroeconomic scenarios.

In short, investors concerned with both long-term inflationary trends and near-term pricing surprises may find it worthwhile to investment in infrastructure and real assets!

Investing in NBI’s Global Real Assets Income Strategy

One might think that higher interest rates and inflation affect the financial performance of all businesses in the same way. In reality, this couldn’t be further from the truth. As shown, interest rates and price pressures have less influence on infrastructure investments than most investors think.

Why invest in this Fund?

By investing in the NBI Global Real Assets Income Strategy, you can benefit from:

  • Possible mitigation against higher interest rates and inflation
  • High dividend yield potential
  • Enhanced diversification due to the low correlation between real assets and traditional stocks and bonds

Learn more about the NBI Global Real Assets Income Fund and the NBI Global Real Assets Income ETF.

 

 

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